GOLD - Consolidation before resistance at 4470. Bullish trend
FX:XAUUSD resumes growth and tests 4470, an important resistance level, amid a weakening dollar caused by expectations of further easing of Fed policy and continuing geopolitical uncertainty.
Expectations of a Fed rate cut intensified after the release of weak ISM Manufacturing PMI data.
Geopolitical risks have temporarily receded into the background, but remain a potential catalyst for a new wave of demand for safe-haven assets.
Attention is shifting to US labor market data (ADP report and JOLTS vacancies on Wednesday, NFP on Friday). Weak employment figures could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold.
Important nuances: China and Russia's reaction to US actions in Venezuela, as well as the open conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
Further dynamics will depend on employment data and a possible escalation of the geopolitical situation. A break above $4470 will open the way to testing higher levels.
Resistance levels: 4470, 4488, 4519
Support levels: 4440, 4430, 4400
If the metal does not pull back from 4470 and continues to storm the resistance, then attempts to continue growth from 4470 can be considered. Otherwise, the market may test 4440-4430 before rising (long squeeze). Within the current cycle, gold has a chance to test its ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!

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Gold Jumps on Geopolitical Shock Rally Exhausted or Correction?
Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) opened the week higher as global markets reacted to rising geopolitical tensions.
The main driver was the weekend arrest of Venezuelas president, Nicols Maduro, by the United States, which increased global uncertainty and boosted safe-haven demand.
Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and the RussiaUkraine war continue to support gold as a hedge against geopolitical risk.
As I previously expected , gold has begun to rise and has reached its targets (full target).
Gold is currently attempting to break the resistance zone($4,467-$4,43.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that gold is in the process of completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) in an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern.
I expect that Gold will begin to decline and potentially drop at least to around $4,391.
First Target: $4,391
Second Target: $4,346
Stop Loss(SL): $4,540(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
What do you think? Will gold continue its bullish trend into 2026, or should we expect a correction? Id love to hear your thoughts!
Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
This is just my idea; Id love to see your thoughts too!
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