XAU/USD ~ Gold Building Momentum from Key Support
📝 Description 🔍 Setup OANDA:XAUUSD
✅Gold has been respecting a descending trendline with multiple rejections, showing clear bearish structure. Now price is attempting a breakout + retest while holding above a strong demand zone.
✅Buyers stepped in aggressively from support, forming higher lows and pushing price back toward the cloud resistance area.
✅Geopolitical tensions (Middle East concerns) continue to support safe-haven demand for gold — adding a fundamental tailwind.
📍 Support & Resistance
🟥 Support Zone: 4,760 – 4,650
🟥 Major Support: 4,570 – 4,400
🟩 1st Resistance: 5,310
🟩 2nd Resistance: 5,550
Volume profile shows strong acceptance near support — buyers defending the zone.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management and your own strategy.
💬 Support the Idea👍 Like if you’re bullish on Gold
💬 Comment: Breakout rally or fakeout? 🔁 Share with fellow gold traders
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Gold- From weekly to 15m chart. Where are the trades?
These days, everyone has an opinion on Gold.
Most of them are bullish.
And to be fair — so am I.
But here is what many traders either don’t understand or simply ignore:
There is a huge difference between having an opinion and having a tradable opinion.
A tradable opinion is one that can actually be executed in the market, with leverage, risk control, and realistic stops — not just a direction on a chart.
This analysis is not about saying “Gold is bullish, it will go to 6k or 7k, I’m a genius if it does.”
It’s about giving traders something they can actually work with.
🔎 Weekly Chart — Big Picture Reality
Three things stand out immediately:
1️⃣ The 5600 → 4400 drop
Yes, it was massive:
- ~12,000 pips
- large in percentage terms
- emotionally shocking
But in long-term trend terms?
👉 Just a correction.
Even if we measure only the 2025 rally, the drop didn’t even reach a 50% retracement.
2️⃣ Technical respect of structure
The decline stopped almost exactly at the October 2025 ATH, which acted as support.
Markets remember levels.
This is not random.
3️⃣ Alignment with congestion
The drop also aligned with:
- the late-December congestion zone
- the starting price of 2026
The first prices of the year often act as major S/R zones.
This is classic market behavior.
✅ Conclusion from Weekly:
Trend is bullish. No debate here.
❌ But tradable?
Not really.
Why?
Because a correct structural stop would be ~8,000 pips away.
With leverage, that’s not trading — that’s praying.
🔎 Daily Chart — Still Bullish, Still Not Tradable
On the daily:
- clean reversal from support
- first impulsive leg up
- pullback forming a higher low
- recent Piercing Line bullish pattern
Again:
✅ Bullish structure
❌ Not t

XAUUSD – Support Hold & Trendline Breakout Setup
Gold is forming a bullish corrective structure after a strong rejection from weekly & monthly support, with price holding above the FVG and demand zone. As long as support remains intact, a break above the upper trendline and resistance can open the path toward the next upside target, while failure to hold support may lead to another retest of the demand area.
Bias stays bullish above support, confirmation required on clean resistance breakout with candle close.

GOLD - Correction within the local downtrend
FX:XAUUSD stabilizes after correction, returning above $4750 after testing the $4400 area earlier in the week. However, the overall trend remains under pressure.
Key factors: DXY remains strong, limiting gold's growth. Tensions between the US and Iran have eased slightly, reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The appointment of Kevin Warsh, who is considered a proponent of tighter fiscal policy, has supported the dollar.
The market is awaiting the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, which will set the tone ahead of employment data. This data will adjust expectations for future Fed rate cuts.
Despite a short-term recovery, gold remains in a downward correction amid a strong dollar and reduced geopolitical risks. The latest economic data from the US will determine the dynamics.
Resistance levels: 4470 - 4475, 4885
Support levels: 4696, 4583, 4432
Technically, I expect a retest of the nearest resistance; the market may react with a pullback/decline to support.
Best regards, R. Linda!

XAUUSD Short: Supply Holding, $4,750 Demand as Target
Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Gold previously traded within a well-defined ascending channel, where price respected both the rising support and resistance lines, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. This structure confirmed sustained bullish momentum and healthy trend continuation. During this phase, pullbacks remained corrective, and buyers consistently defended the lower boundary of the channel, allowing price to gradually grind higher. The bullish move ultimately accelerated into a strong impulsive rally, which culminated at a clear pivot high, marking a temporary exhaustion of buying pressure. Following this pivot point, market structure shifted. Price broke below the ascending channel support and transitioned into a bearish corrective phase, signaling that bullish control was weakening.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading below the descending Supply Line, with price structure showing lower highs and failed recovery attempts. This suggests that the recent upward moves are corrective pullbacks rather than the start of a new bullish trend. Below current price, the Demand Zone around 4,750 stands out as the next major area of interest. This zone represents a strong historical demand level and aligns with prior consolidation, making it a logical downside target where buyers may attempt to step in.
My primary scenario favors further downside continuation as long as price remains below the descending supply line and below the 4,900 Supply Zone. Any rallies into this resistance area are viewed as potential selling opportunities rather than trend reversals. The main downside objective is the 4,750 Demand Zone (TP1), where partial profits can be considered and where a market reaction is likely