August 5 Ai update.
For more details pm @Nazirmydin

FED SEPTEMBER FORECASTS (SEP 17, 2025)
The Fed cut rates 25 bps to 4.00–4.25% and signaled two more cuts in 2025. New projections show:
Fed Funds Rate (year-end):
2025: 3.675% (vs 3.875% prior)
2026: 3.375% (unchanged)
2027: 3.125% (vs 3.375% prior)
2028: 3.125% (first forecast)
Longer run: 3.125% (vs 3.00% prior)
Inflation (PCE):
2025: 3.0% (unchanged)
2026: 2.6% (up from 2.4%)
2027: 2.1% (steady)
2028: 2.0% (first forecast)
Core PCE:
2025: 3.1% (unchanged)
2026: 2.6% (up from 2.4%)
2027: 2.1% (slightly down from 2.3%)
2028: 2.0% (first forecast)
GDP Growth:
2025: 1.6% (up from 1.4%)
2026: 1.8% (up from 1.6%)
2027: 1.9% (up from 1.8%)
2028: 1.8% (first forecast)
Unemployment Rate:
2025: 4.5% (unchanged)
2026: 4.4% (down from 4.5%)
2027: 4.3% (down from 4.4%)
2028: 4.2% (first forecast

US Change in Private Payrolls Jul: 83K (est 100K; prev 74K; prev R 3K)
- Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: -11K (est 0K; prev -7K; prev R -15K)
- Change In Government Payrolls: -10K (prev 73K)
- Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Month Avg Change: 35K (prev 150K; prev R 64K)
- Avg Weekly Hours All Employees: 34.3 (est 34.2; prev 34.2)
- Labour Force Participation Rate: 62.2% (est 62.3%; prev 62.3%)
- Underemployment Rate: 7.9% (prev 7.7%)

Contact @Nazirmydin for details

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